GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 9/28/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vilavelhense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Vilavelhense are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Pinheiros are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vilavelhense hold a 60.5-point power-rating edge (73.9 v 13.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.8% in the Capixaba B, while Vilavelhense holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vilavelhense

Probability

91.8%

Model confidence

91.8%

Vilavelhense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VilavelhenseWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 3.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
PinheirosWWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.67/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
VilavelhensePinheiros
100.0Attack20.0
72.7Defence6.7
69.7Form0.0
73.9Power13.5
4.32xG0.53
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