Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vila Real · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 04:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Vila Real
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Vila Real has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vila RealLLWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75
BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Ceara BLWLWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vila RealCeara B
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.19xG1.02