GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/15/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vila Nova are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Novorizontino have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Novorizontino hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vila NovaLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
NovorizontinoNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Vila NovaNovorizontino
42.9Attack50.8
60.3Defence68.3
54.0Form52.4
55.2Power57.5
0.87xG1.11
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