Serie B
Vila Nova
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Fortaleza EC
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Vila Nova leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Vila Nova head into this in Serie B fixture at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga in mixed form (L), while Fortaleza EC arrive in mixed form (W). Vila Nova have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Fortaleza EC over 1 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — Vila Nova (66/100) and Fortaleza EC (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
Vila Nova have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Fortaleza EC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.
Vila Nova have generated 0.52 xG per game recently while conceding 0.62 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
There is no head-to-head data between Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects Vila Nova to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Vila Nova 4639%, Draw 2845%, Fortaleza EC 2516%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
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Vila Nova
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC?
GoalVio's model predicts Vila Nova to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.