Vila Nova leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Vila Nova head into this in Serie B fixture in mixed form (L), while Botafogo SP arrive in mixed form (DWL). Vila Nova have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 33% for Botafogo SP over 3 games.

The model rates Vila Nova's attack at 9/100 against a 39/100 Botafogo SP defence, and Botafogo SP's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Vila Nova backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Vila Nova have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Botafogo SP have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Vila Nova have generated 0.52 xG per game recently while conceding 0.62 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Botafogo SP have generated 0.62 xG per game recently while conceding 0.52 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Vila Nova have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Vila Nova to win with 51% confidence. Win probabilities: Vila Nova 5127%, Draw 2740%, Botafogo SP 2133%.

Head to head

Recent form

Vila Nova

L

@ Juventude

10 Jul 2026

0–1

L

@ Novorizontino

26 Jun 2026

1–2

W

vs Nautico Recife

20 Jun 2026

4–3

W

vs Botafogo SP

9 Jun 2026

1–0

xG 0.5

L

vs Anápolis

13 May 2026

0–1

Botafogo SP

D

@ Sport Recife

11 Jul 2026

3–3

W

vs Avai

6 Jul 2026

3–1

L

vs CRB

1 Jul 2026

0–1

W

@ Ceara

20 Jun 2026

1–0

L

@ Vila Nova

9 Jun 2026

0–1

xG 0.6

Frequently asked questions

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