Viktoria Plzeň IIvs
Dukla Praha II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/4/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viktoria Plzeň II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viktoria Plzeň II 3-0 Dukla Praha II
Original prediction
Viktoria Plzeň II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.5% | 44.9% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 25.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.6% | 29.9% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Viktoria Plzeň II
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Viktoria Plzeň II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20