Viktoria Plzeň IIvs
Aritma Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/18/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viktoria Plzeň II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viktoria Plzeň II 3-0 Aritma Praha
Original prediction
Viktoria Plzeň II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.2% | 80.3% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 18.3% | 11.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 7.20 | 12.5% | 7.8% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Viktoria Plzeň II
Probability
80.3%
Model confidence
80.3%
Viktoria Plzeň II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20