Viktoria Žižkovvs
Třinec
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 9/20/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Třinec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viktoria Žižkov 3-0 Třinec
Original prediction
Třinec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.1% | 35.1% | -18.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.1% | 24.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.8% | 40.5% | 17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Třinec
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Třinec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Viktoria ŽižkovWLDLW
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TřinecLWLLW
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Viktoria ŽižkovTřinec
20.8Attack41.7
33.3Defence41.7
29.2Form29.2
31.8Power40.3
1.11xG1.52