Viktoria Žižkovvs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Cup · 9/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viktoria Žižkov 0-5 Sparta Praha
Original prediction
Sparta Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.74 | 10.4% | 31.0% | 20.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.82 | 15.6% | 23.3% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 74.0% | 45.7% | -28.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80