GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Viktoria Griesheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Viktoria GriesheimDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vfb MarburgDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Viktoria GriesheimVfb Marburg
38.2Attack50.0
30.4Defence66.7
32.4Form66.7
36.0Power64.8
1.07xG2.25
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