GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Viktoria Griesheim are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Viktoria GriesheimWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
FernwaldLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 21 · avg 1.00/4.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Viktoria GriesheimFernwald
38.2Attack41.7
30.4Defence58.3
32.4Form41.7
36.0Power48.8
1.21xG2.01
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