GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/18/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Viktoria Griesheim are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Viktoria GriesheimWLLLD

GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bayern AlzenauLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Viktoria GriesheimBayern Alzenau
38.2Attack44.4
30.4Defence44.4
32.4Form22.2
36.0Power40.2
1.39xG2.03
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