GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Viktoria Griesheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Baunatal are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viktoria Griesheim hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Viktoria GriesheimLWDDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BaunatalDLWDD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Viktoria GriesheimBaunatal
38.2Attack22.2
30.4Defence44.4
32.4Form11.1
36.0Power29.5
1.43xG1.80
View match centre →