Viktoria Aschaffenburgvs
Gebenbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viktoria Aschaffenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 Gebenbach
Original prediction
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.0% | 42.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.1% | 25.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 36.9% | 32.1% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60