GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Buchbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Viktoria Aschaffenburg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Buchbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Buchbach hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Buchbach holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Buchbach

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Buchbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Viktoria AschaffenburgDDDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BuchbachDWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Viktoria AschaffenburgBuchbach
33.3Attack88.9
52.0Defence77.8
35.3Form77.8
42.8Power79.5
0.84xG1.77
View match centre →