GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/23/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Vikingur Reykjavik are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stjarnan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vikingur Reykjavik hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (82.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.3% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Vikingur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vikingur Reykjavik

Probability

87.3%

Model confidence

87.3%

Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vikingur ReykjavikWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
StjarnanWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vikingur ReykjavikStjarnan
100.0Attack61.1
70.4Defence20.4
83.3Form38.9
82.0Power42.3
4.50xG0.91
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