Vikingur Reykjavikvs
Keflavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/14/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vikingur Reykjavik 4-1 Keflavik
Original prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.3% | 84.2% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.41 | 14.2% | 10.0% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 9.60 | 9.5% | 5.9% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
Probability
84.2%
Model confidence
84.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00