ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeild
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Vikingur Reykjavik

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home
L
51
Full time
Keflavik

Keflavik

Away
LD
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Vikingur Reykjavik(50%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Vikingur Reykjavik
50%
Draw
24%
Keflavik
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vikingur Reykjavik
9
Keflavik
34
Defence
Vikingur Reykjavik
6
Keflavik
46
Momentum
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
Keflavik
17
Danger (xG)
Vikingur Reykjavik
0.00
Keflavik
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Vikingur Reykjavik)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Keflavik)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vikingur Reykjavik)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Keflavik)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
DWWLW
KeflavikKeflavik
LDD

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Vikingur Reykjavik50%
Draw24%
Keflavik25%

Vikingur Reykjavik leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vikingur Reykjavik head into this in Úrvalsdeild fixture in mixed form (L), while Keflavik arrive in mixed form (LD). Vikingur Reykjavik have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Keflavik over 2 games.

Tactically, Keflavik hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Vikingur Reykjavik defence (6/100), while Vikingur Reykjavik's attack faces a average Keflavik backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Vikingur Reykjavik have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Keflavik have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Vikingur Reykjavik have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Vikingur Reykjavik and Keflavik in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Vikingur Reykjavik to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik 5026%, Draw 2443%, Keflavik 2531%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Vikingur Reykjavik

Vikingur Reykjavik

D
@ Gyori ETO FC
14 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.0
W
vs Gyori ETO FC
7 Jul 2026
10
W
vs KA Akureyri
2 Jul 2026
32
L
@ Breidablik
28 Jun 2026
03
W
@ Breidablik
25 Jun 2026
41
Keflavik

Keflavik

L
@ Breidablik
13 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Fram Reykjavik
6 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Valur Reykjavik
21 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Vikingur Reykjavik to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more