Vikingur Reykjavikvs
IA Akranes
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/11/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 4-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vikingur Reykjavik 2-2 IA Akranes
Original prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.9% | 61.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 18.7% | 20.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 5.22 | 17.4% | 18.8% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.4–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00