UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Vikingur Reykjavik

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home
L
21
Full time
Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Away
L
Víkingsvollur Stadium
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Vikingur Reykjavik(61%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Vikingur Reykjavik
61%
Draw
21%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
18%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vikingur Reykjavik
9
Hapoel Beer Sheva
34
Defence
Vikingur Reykjavik
6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
6
Momentum
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0
Danger (xG)
Vikingur Reykjavik
0.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Vikingur Reykjavik)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Hapoel Beer Sheva)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vikingur Reykjavik)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Hapoel Beer Sheva)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
DWWLW
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
LLWD

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Vikingur Reykjavik61%
Draw21%
Hapoel Beer Sheva18%

Vikingur Reykjavik leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vikingur Reykjavik head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Víkingsvollur Stadium in mixed form (L), while Hapoel Beer Sheva arrive in mixed form (L). Vikingur Reykjavik have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Hapoel Beer Sheva over 1 games.

The model rates Vikingur Reykjavik's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Hapoel Beer Sheva defence, and Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Vikingur Reykjavik backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Vikingur Reykjavik have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Vikingur Reykjavik have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Vikingur Reykjavik and Hapoel Beer Sheva in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Vikingur Reykjavik to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik 6117%, Draw 2109%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1774%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Vikingur Reykjavik

Vikingur Reykjavik

D
@ Gyori ETO FC
14 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.0
W
vs Gyori ETO FC
7 Jul 2026
10
W
vs KA Akureyri
2 Jul 2026
32
L
@ Breidablik
28 Jun 2026
03
W
@ Breidablik
25 Jun 2026
41
Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Beer Sheva

L
vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Legia Warszawa
7 Jul 2026
13
W
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
15 May 2026
20
D
@ Beitar Jerusalem
12 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

GoalVio's model predicts Vikingur Reykjavik to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more