Vikingur Reykjavikvs
Fram Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/24/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vikingur Reykjavik 2-2 Fram Reykjavik
Original prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.1% | 54.3% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 20.0% | 23.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 19.9% | 22.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.5–18%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60