GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vikingur Reykjavik 2-2 Fram Reykjavik

Original prediction

Vikingur Reykjavik

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5260.0%73.6%13.7 pts
Draw4.4520.4%13.7%-6.8 pts
Away4.6519.6%12.7%-6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.4–18%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Vikingur Reykjavik

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vikingur ReykjavikDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fram ReykjavikDWWLW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vikingur ReykjavikFram Reykjavik
100.0Attack85.7
69.8Defence36.5
82.5Form69.8
81.7Power64.4
3.91xG1.40
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