Vikingur Olafsiikvs
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vikingur Olafsiik 4-0 Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Original prediction
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 30.4% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 17.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.3% | 51.9% | 20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80