Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viking 3-1 Tromso
Original prediction
Viking
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 62.7% | 57.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 20.1% | 22.2% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 5.41 | 17.2% | 20.2% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VikingLWDWW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TromsoDDWWL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
VikingTromso
85.5Attack60.9
68.1Defence55.1
81.2Form58.0
77.2Power57.4
2.55xG1.01