Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Viking are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Viking hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (77.8 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Eliteserien, while Viking holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
9.6%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00