Vikingvs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viking 3-0 Lillestrom
Original prediction
Viking
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 68.2% | 73.0% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.29 | 17.6% | 15.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 6.57 | 14.2% | 11.1% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
73.0%
Model confidence
73.0%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VikingWLDWW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LillestromLWWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VikingLillestrom
85.0Attack46.7
66.7Defence56.7
78.3Form53.3
75.3Power53.0
2.48xG0.81