Vikingvs
Fredrikstad
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viking 3-2 Fredrikstad
Original prediction
Viking
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 73.8% | 81.6% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.99 | 15.5% | 12.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 8.67 | 10.7% | 6.4% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
81.6%
Model confidence
81.6%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VikingDWWWW
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FredrikstadDDWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
VikingFredrikstad
84.8Attack39.4
69.7Defence50.0
80.3Form43.9
77.0Power46.5
2.93xG0.60