Vikingvs
Bayern München
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viking 3-3 Bayern München
Original prediction
Bayern München
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17.25 | 5.6% | 25.8% | 20.2 pts |
| Draw | 11.03 | 8.7% | 22.1% | 13.4 pts |
| Away | 1.12 | 85.7% | 52.1% | -33.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 10.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Bayern München
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Bayern München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60