Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viking II 1-2 Våg
Original prediction
Viking II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 74.2% | 53.4% | -20.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.03 | 14.9% | 22.7% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 8.29 | 10.8% | 23.9% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Viking II
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Viking II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Viking IIDWWLD
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VågDWWLL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Viking IIVåg
100.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
74.3Power50.0
2.69xG1.64