Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viking II 3-1 Stabæk II
Original prediction
Viking II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.1% | 46.8% | -20.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.17 | 17.4% | 23.9% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 15.6% | 29.3% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Viking II
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Viking II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Viking IILDLWL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Stabæk IIWLWWL
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Viking IIStabæk II
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.33xG1.99