GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metalul Buzău · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Viitorul Şelimbăr 1-1 Metalul Buzău

Original prediction

Metalul Buzău

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5226.0%33.3%7.3 pts
Draw3.2827.9%29.6%1.6 pts
Away1.9846.1%37.2%-8.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Metalul Buzău

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Metalul Buzău has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Viitorul ŞelimbărWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Metalul BuzăuLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Viitorul ŞelimbărMetalul Buzău
33.3Attack33.3
53.3Defence60.0
33.3Form46.7
43.0Power48.8
1.07xG1.03
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