Viitorul Şelimbărvs
ASA Targu Mures
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA Targu Mures · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viitorul Şelimbăr 1-0 ASA Targu Mures
Original prediction
ASA Targu Mures
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.4% | 24.4% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 23.0% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.9% | 52.5% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
ASA Targu Mures
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
ASA Targu Mures has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40