GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Viimsi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

10.7%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ViimsiWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tartu WelcoWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ViimsiTartu Welco
56.1Attack97.0
66.7Defence54.5
57.6Form68.2
60.1Power70.4
1.66xG1.76
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