Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Viimsi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Flora II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20