Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Viimsi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Elva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00