Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vihren · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vihren 2-0 Dobrudzha
Original prediction
Vihren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.7% | 58.8% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 18.6% | 22.9% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 8.47 | 10.7% | 18.4% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Vihren
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Vihren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VihrenWWWDW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DobrudzhaDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VihrenDobrudzha
79.2Attack37.5
66.7Defence50.0
75.0Form25.0
74.0Power38.1
2.39xG0.68