Vigor Senigalliavs
Ancona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone F · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vigor Senigallia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vigor Senigallia 0-5 Ancona
Original prediction
Vigor Senigallia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.1% | 37.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.2% | 28.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 38.7% | 34.5% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Vigor Senigallia
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Vigor Senigallia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00