Viggbyholms IKvs
Korsnäs
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viggbyholms IK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viggbyholms IK 2-4 Korsnäs
Original prediction
Viggbyholms IK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.7% | 48.3% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.0% | 25.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.42 | 20.4% | 25.8% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Viggbyholms IK
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Viggbyholms IK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60