Viggbyholms IKvs
Falu BS
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viggbyholms IK 0-2 Falu BS
Original prediction
Falu BS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.01 | 22.3% | 13.6% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.9% | 20.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 52.8% | 66.0% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40