Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while KuPS W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS W hold a 42.6-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while KuPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS W
Probability
86.0%
Model confidence
10.2%
KuPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20