Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JyPK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
VIFK W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JyPK are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and VIFK W hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while JyPK holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JyPK
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
9.9%
JyPK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60