Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80