Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while HPS W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS W
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 18 · avg 0.20/3.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40