Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while HJK are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 67.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
93.8%
Model confidence
16.8%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20