Viettelvs
Melbourne Victory
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 9/16/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viettel 1-1 Melbourne Victory
Original prediction
Melbourne Victory
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.5% | 35.8% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.3% | 36.9% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Victory
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Melbourne Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20