Viettelvs
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 10/8/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viettel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viettel 1-3 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Original prediction
Viettel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.5% | 45.4% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 28.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 6.42 | 14.1% | 26.6% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Viettel
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Viettel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00