Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viettel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Viettel 0-0 Bắc Ninh, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Viettel 2-2 Bắc Ninh
Original prediction
Viettel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.0% | 41.2% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 28.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.41 | 14.0% | 30.1% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Projected Score
Viettel 0–0 Bắc Ninh
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Viettel
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Viettel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ViettelLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bắc NinhDLWWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ViettelBắc Ninh
25.0Attack8.3
58.3Defence83.3
25.0Form33.3
37.8Power44.6
0.94xG0.96