Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vietnam 2-2 Thailand
Original prediction
Vietnam
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.1% | 51.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 23.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.3% | 24.6% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VietnamWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ThailandLLWWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VietnamThailand
90.5Attack66.7
95.2Defence76.2
90.5Form71.4
88.6Power70.0
1.86xG1.17