Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vietnam are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Thailand are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40