Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Vietnam are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Singapore are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold a 40.4-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.6% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
79.6%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40